Studies
Benchmarks, backtests, and signal discoveries. Methodology included.
If a model underperformed, the autopsy is here. If a result held up, the notes, caveats, and method sit next to it.
5 published · 5 in review
Source material behind the episodes. Data, methodology, and limitations.
Study
Mar 25, 2026
5 min watch
400+ strategy variants tested across three research tracks and five assets from 2021 to 2025. Three survived walk-forward validation. This study covers the mean reversion system: 77 out-of-sample trades with entry and exit prices sourced from Binance USDT perpetual data.
Source note
Mar 10, 2026
2 min read
Two years of out-of-sample trades with actual Binance funding costs applied per position. 26 wins out of 29 trades. Weak spots left in.
Benchmark
Mar 11, 2026
3 min read
Six AI tools given identical trader questions. Weighted rubric: comprehension, actionability, originality, accuracy, risk awareness. Raw responses published for rescoring.
Process note
Mar 14, 2026
4 min read
An unedited context engineering session where the operator tested screen recording safety, the AI leaked .env values on the first prompt, took three corrections to understand the task, and still shipped a study page by the end.
Drafts and recurring briefs moving through editorial.
Study
Draft
Expected Apr 2026
Follow-up to '400 Experiments. 3 Survived.' Three mean reversion systems ran on live data from Jan 2026 onward. Did the survivors hold up? Did concentration risk persist? Includes the 21-gate hardening pipeline and what it took to go from backtest to deployable.
Research note
Draft
Expected Apr 2026
Tracking how narrative momentum decays after the initial news event. Which categories (L1s, DeFi, memes) mean-revert fastest, and when sentiment flips from signal to noise.
Research note
Draft
Expected Apr 2026
Source-by-source audit of the long-form research mode. Measuring freshness decay, contradiction rates between providers, and retrieval accuracy against known-answer queries.
Field brief
Series
Expected Mar 2026
Short recurring posts on crowded funding, carry opportunities, and the setups that actually deserve attention that week.
Case study
Draft
Expected Apr 2026
Post-mortem case studies on live signals: entry conditions, execution timing, and where risk allocation could improve with hindsight.
