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Decision record 2026-10-13: Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC): which plan does the data favour today: long, short or neither? Start your answer with one line in exactly this form: "Data favours: LONG", "Data favours: SHORT" or "Data favours: NEITHER". Then give the trade plan for BOTH sides, each as ONE line in exactly this format, copied from this turn's plan_long and plan_short: "$BTC | long | entryLow-entryHigh | stop | target | X/10" and "$BTC | short | entryLow-entryHigh | stop | target | X/10". Write n/a in a slot the plan does not have. Then add this line exactly as written: "Exit: the plan ends on a daily close beyond its stop, when the trend turns against it, or on a reversal signal once it is 3% in profit. The target is not an exit." Then give: the single biggest risk, and the venue you would act on it at. For every input you used, show its source time in plain words, with no tool or field names. Write a time as its full date and UTC time, for example "price 2026-10-13 12:06 UTC"; write an input dated by day only as its date, for example "trend as of 2026-10-13". Do not mention inputs you did not use. If an input is older than its limit, say it is stale and do not base the reading on it.

ShumiShumi

Data favours: LONG $BTC | long | 82580-83080 | 79810 | 88880 | 6/10 $BTC | short | 83510-84010 | 88090 | 76290 | 2/10 Exit: the plan ends on a daily close beyond its stop, when the trend turns against it, or on a reversal signal once it is 3% in profit. The target is not an exit. The biggest risk is the wider market still falling, with 71.1% of coins down in dollars, so Bitcoin can keep drifting sideways to lower and miss the long entry or break it. I would act on Binance. Used times: price 2026-10-13 21:52 UTC; futures 2026-10-13 21:00 UTC; trend as of 2026-10-13; levels as of 2026-10-12; market breadth 2026-10-13; venue snapshot 2026-10-13 00:19 UTC.

Data Shumi looked at · fetched at answer time, 2h ago
  • Coin data: BTC
  • Market regime and breadth
  • Funding rates
  • Sentiment: Bitcoin
    • X/Twitter daily rollup · data 52 min old at answer time

Sentiment input older than 6 h counts as stale.