ShumiShumi

Decision record 2026-11-04: THORChain

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THORChain (RUNE): which plan does the data favour today: long, short or neither?

ShumiShumi

Data favours: NEITHER

$RUNE | long | 0.6278-0.6291 | 0.5460 | 0.8420 | 4/10
$RUNE | short | 0.6307-0.6311 | 0.7377 | 0.4567 | 4/10

Exit: the plan ends on a daily close beyond its stop, when the trend turns against it, or on a reversal signal once it is 3% in profit. The target is not an exit.

RUNE is sideways, and both plans score 4/10. The biggest risk is its typical daily price move of 8.7%.

Binance lists RUNE/USDT for direct coin trading; a futures venue for these plans is unconfirmed.

The trend is as of 2026-11-04. The plan levels use CoinGecko exchange averages through 2026-11-03; an individual exchange’s daily high or low can differ by about 2%. The Binance market snapshot is from 2026-11-04 00:19 UTC.

Data used
  • Coin data: BTC, RUNE
  • Market regime and breadth
  • Funding rates
  • Market data
  • Sentiment: THORChain
    • X/Twitter daily rollup · data 3 h 15 min old at answer time

Sentiment input older than 6 h counts as stale.

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