Decision record 2026-11-01: Bitcoin

Shared by anonymous,

Bitcoin (BTC): which plan does the data favour today: long, short or neither?

ShumiShumi

Data favours: SHORT

$BTC | long | 76300-76780 | 73620 | 81020 | 3/10

$BTC | short | 78780-79260 | 82250 | 73130 | 4/10

Exit: the plan ends on a daily close beyond its stop, when the trend turns against it, or on a reversal signal once it is 3% in profit. The target is not an exit.

The short plan has the higher score. Its main risk is that Bitcoin remains above its 200-day average. Binance Futures lists a BTC contract.

The plan uses CoinGecko averages across exchanges; an individual exchange’s daily high or low can differ by up to about 2% (prices through 2026-10-31). Binance Futures was checked at 2026-11-01 13:15 UTC.

Data used
  • Coin data: BTC
  • Market regime and breadth
  • Funding rates
  • Sentiment: Bitcoin
    • X/Twitter daily rollup · data 1 h 15 min old at answer time

Sentiment input older than 6 h counts as stale.