Decision record 2026-11-05: Official Trump
Shared by anonymous,
Official Trump (TRUMP): which plan does the data favour today: long, short or neither?
ShumiData favours: SHORT
$TRUMP | long | n/a | n/a | n/a | 0/10
$TRUMP | short | 1.337-1.37 | 1.607 | 0.8461 | 5/10
The short plan’s stop applies on a daily close above it at 00:00 UTC. The 3% reversal exit rule is unverified.
The biggest risk is a sharp reversal: TRUMP started falling today, and traders betting on a fall are paying 53.9% a year to keep those bets open (all venues, 2026-11-05 13:00 UTC).
A venue for the futures plan is unavailable. The short target is a projection at twice the plan’s risk; no measured chart level reaches it. Levels use CoinGecko averages through 2026-11-04 00:00 UTC; an exchange’s daily high or low can differ by about 2%. The trend is as of 2026-11-05.
TRUMP also releases 27.28 million tokens over 30 days, equal to 9.7% of market cap and about 17% of one day’s trading volume on verified exchanges (DropsTab, 2026-11-05 13:15 UTC).
- TRUMP mentions · mentions 16/h (baseline building, 0 of 7 days) · newest post 12 min before Shumi answered (Nov 5, 13:15 UTC)
Data used · stale input
- Coin data: BTC, TRUMP · 1d
- Market regime and breadth
- Funding rates
- Market data
- On-chain positioning
- GMGN holders · data 32 min old at answer time
- GMGN wallet tags · data 32 min old at answer time
- GMGN KOL traders · data under 1 min old at answer time
- GMGN largest pool liquidity (not depth near spot) · data 32 min old at answer time
- Sentiment: Official Trumpstale
- X/Twitter daily rollup · data 10 h 15 min old at answer timestale
Sentiment input older than 6 h counts as stale.